Tuesday, 19 April 2016

Economic Development


                                                        

ECON2033
Development Economics
AD6
Recommended book:
Economic Development 8th edition by Smith and Todaro
Instructor: Muhammad Ilyas Siddiqui, MS Economics, IIIE, IIUI


Q1: What is development economics? Describe traditional and modern views regarding development economics.
Introduction
Economics as a subject is concerned with allocation of scarce resources. The purpose of this allocation is to meet maximum possible human needs and wants. The word “development” literally means gradual growth in a thing until it reaches to its most advanced form. In economics, development means the material well- being of people and nations; it is termed as economic development and the subject that discusses the nature and causes of economic development is known as development economics.
Traditional economics is primarily concerned with least cost or optimum combination of productive resources to produce an ever expanding range of goods and services. The traditional economics includes both classical and neoclassical economics. Political economy goes beyond traditional economics and also considers social and institutional influences on resource allocation now and in future. It gives special emphasis on role of power in economic decision making.
Economic development has become very broad term showing political, social and institutional requirements for rapid economic growth in the way that brings the fruit of economic development to all segments of society. It focuses on mechanisms that keep families, regions and entire nation in poverty traps and strategies to break out these traps.
Traditional view of development
According to this view ED is a capacity of national economy to generate and sustain an annual increase in real gross national product – GNP at the rate of 5% to 7% or more. An alternative measure is per capita GNP that includes population factor; ability of a nation to expand its output at a rate faster than its population rate. Development strategies in past also focused on rapid industrialization at the expense of agricultural and rural development. Finally, these principal measures were supplemented by non-economic social indicators – literacy, schooling, health and housing.
The new economic view of development
In 1950s and 1960s many developing countries realized economic growth targets but living standard of masses of people in these courtiers remained unchanged. The focus of most economists switched from mere calculations of GNP to major economic problems such as absolute and widespread poverty, income inequalities and ever rising unemployment rate. Therefore, development was conceived as a multidimensional process involving major changes in social structures, popular attitudes and national institutions along with acceleration of economic growth.


Q2: What are the views of Sen about development; enlist the core values and objectives of development economics in the light of Sen’s thought.
Sen’s capabilities approach
Income and wealth are not ends in itself but are instruments to other purposes goes back to Aristotle. Almost same thing was proposed by an Indian economist Amertya Sen (1933) who got Nobel Prize in 1998. According to Sen “Economic growth cannot be sensibly treated as an end in itself. Development has to be more concerned with enhancing the lives we lead and the freedoms we enjoy”. He argued that development cannot be measured properly through conventional measures, rather what a person has does not matter; what a person is, can be or “does” is matter of concern. Further, he argued that availability of commodities would not solve the problem but it is “functioning” or “abilities” that is freedom of choice and control of one’s own life along with the ability of living at par with society is real requirements for economic developments.
Three core values of development
1-    Sustenance; the ability to meet the basic needs
2-    Self esteem; to be a person
3-    Freedom from servitude; to be able to choose
The three objectives of development
1-    To increase the availability and widen the distribution of life-sustaining goods and services.
2-     To raise level of living along with high incomes, more jobs, better education and greater attention to human and cultural values.
3-    To expand the range of economic and social choices available to individuals and nations.

Q3: Write a detailed note on Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Also mention the relevant targets.
 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
The internationally agreed framework of 8 goals and 18 targets was complemented by 48 technical indicators to measure progress towards the Millennium Development Goals. These were established following the Millennium Summit of the United Nations in September, 2000, following the adoption of the United Nations Millennium Declaration. All 189 United Nations member states at the time (there are 193 currently), and at least 23 international organizations, committed to help achieve the following Millennium Development Goals by 2015 These indicators have since been adopted by a consensus of experts from the United Nations, IMF, OECD and the World Bank. 
1-    Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger

Target 1. Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day
Target 2. Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger

2-    Achieve universal primary education
Target 3. Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling

3-     Promote gender equality and empower women
Target 4. Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education no later than 2015

4-    Reduce child mortality [1]
Target 5. Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate

5-     Improve maternal health
Target 6. Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio.

6-    Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases
Target 7. Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS 
Target 8. Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases

7-    Ensure environment sustainability
Target 9. Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources
Target 10. Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation
Target 11. Have achieved by 2020 a significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers

8-    Develop a global partnership for development
Target 12. Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, nondiscriminatory trading and financial system (includes a commitment to good governance, development, and poverty reduction both nationally and internationally.
Target 13. Address the special needs of the Least Developed Countries (includes tariff-        and quota-free access for Least Developed Countries exports, enhanced program of debt relief for heavily indebted poor countries [HIPCs] and cancellation of official bilateral debt, and more generous official development assistance for countries committed to poverty reduction)
Target 14. Address the special needs of landlocked developing countries and small island developing states (through the Program of Action for the Sustainable Development of Small Island Developing States and 22nd General Assembly provisions)
      



      



Target 15. Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of developing countries through national and international measures in order to make debt sustainable in the long term
Target 16. In cooperation with developing countries, develop and implement strategies for decent and productive work for youth
Target 17. In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries
Target 18. In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications technologies.


Q4: What are the basic indicators of development.
Basic indicators of development: Real income, health and education
Real income
Total market value of all final goods and services produced in a country by all residents and nonresidents is gross national product GNP. If the difference between income received by residents from abroad for factor services (labor and capital) and payments made to nonresidents who contribute the domestic economy is deduced from GNP, we will be left with GDP, gross domestic product. GNP is the most commonly used measure of overall economic activity.
One way to make comparison between developed and less developed countries (LDCs) is per capita real GNP. This is done by converting per capita real GNP of all countries to single measure that is US dollar. This process involves official foreign exchange rates and therefore, is exaggerated when the currencies of LDCs is converted to US dollar. This problem is rectified by focusing on another concept that is purchasing power parity (PPP). It is defined as the number of units of a foreign country’s currency required to purchase the identical quantity of goods and services in the local market of LDC as $1 would buy in the United States. Exchange rate will adjust to equalize the purchasing power of a unit of a currency in all countries. At PPP, buyers are indifferent to purchase among countries. PPP is simply a mutual comparison of purchasing powers.
The concept of PPP has benefits over GNP at exchange rate. For example, the income gap between the richest country, USA and the poorest country, Ethiopia is 56 to 1 at PPP and 403 to 1 at exchange rate in 2000. One of major weaknesses of income at exchange rate is volatility of exchange rate fluctuations that affects GNP and GDP comparisons badly. GNP shows economic strength of a country whereas PPP shows cost of living or quality of life (purchasing power) which is more reliable indicator.
Per capita GNP in 1997 – in USD at official exchange rates
Switzerland
44320
Japan
37850
US
28740
Canada
19290
Brazil
4720
China
860
Pakistan
490
India
390
Nigeria
260
Ethiopia
110



Health
Life expectancy: there is also striking difference between developed and least developed countries, for example, in 1960, it was 75 to 48 years.
Infant mortality rate- the number of babies who die before their first birthday out of every 1,000 live births. It was 96, 48 and 8 in least developed, developing and developed countries respectively in 1998.
Malnutrition; The even bigger problem than poverty. According 2001 statistics; among the poor 1 billion do not have access to safe drinking water; 2.4 billion – half the population – live without sanitation facilities and 158 million children under age 5 are underweight.
AIDS: there are 22 million died of this fatal disease and 36 million got HIV up to 2001, 90% of all these belong to least developed countries.
Education
It is also a major indicator. In least developed countries 45% is average literacy rate; 325 million children have dropped out of primary and secondary school; 854 million illiterate adults out of which 60% are women (survey 2001)
Q5: What are the characters developing countries have in common?
Common characters of low living levels of developing countries
1-    Low as well as slow rates of income growth.
2-    Low as well as stagnating rates of real income per capita growth.
3-    Highly skewed patterns of income distribution.
4-    Large segment of population is suffering from absolute poverty.
5-    Large segment of population is characterized with ill health, malnutrition, high infant mortality rates.
6-    Low levels of literacy, significant dropout rates and inadequate and irrelevant educational curricula and facilities.





     Q6: What are primary growth factors?
1-    Capital accumulation including all new investments.
2-    Population growth giving rise labor force.
3-    Technological progress.


Capital accumulation
Capital is that part of wealth which is used to generate further income. There are two major kinds of capital; human capital and non-human or physical capital. Human capital consists of education, skills, capabilities, etc. Examples of non- human capital are machines, buildings, infrastructure - roads, water, electricity, sanitation, communications, etc. physical capital stock of a nation is the total net real value of all physically productive capital goods.
Capital accumulation is the process of adding more capital to existing capital stock. Capital accumulation is the result of investment that is in turn result of saving. Saving shows that the society is willing to sacrifice today consumption to get more in future.
Capital accumulation cycle
E   Y  S I K E Y S I K   E Y S I K   E Y S I K
E = Employment, Y= income, S= saving, I= investment, K= capital accumulation
Population growth giving rise labor force.
Second major factor that guarantees development is population growth. An increase in population growth obviously results in more labor force. But, both positive and negative impacts of population growth are likely. Least developed and developing countries are rich in population still they are not developed. It depends on the economic system of a country how it utilizes its labor. Population growth is also necessary to develop markets that are very important factor in free market economy.
More population → more labor force → bigger markets both for labor and output

Technological progress
Technology is new and improved ways of doing things such as growing crops, making clothing or building a house. There are three categories of technological progress:
1-    Neutral technological progress
It takes place when higher output is achieved with same quantity and combination of factors of production. Division of labor is only possible innovation that can be expected in this type. Production possibility front will simply shift outward
2-    Laborsaving technological progress
It is due to use of advanced machines such as computers, automated looms, high speed electric drills, tractors, etc. The fastest technological progress since last century is also due to laborsaving technology. It is also known as capital intensive technology and common in developed countries because these countries are rich enough to launch heavy research.
3-    Capital saving technological progress
It is common in developing countries where labor force is abundant and heavy machinery and research is out of reach. It is also known as labor intensive technology. Only small and limited machines are used.
4-    Labor augmenting technological progress
It occurs when quality or skills of labor force are upgraded such as use of multimedia and other communication media for class room instructions.
5-    capital augmenting technological progress
It occurs when quality and productivity of capital goods is improved such as substitution of threshers for simple machines.
Q7 How production possibility front technique is helpful in growth analysis
Production possibility function (PPF) analysis
PPF shows the maximum attainable output of two commodities, for example rice and computer, that a country can produce potentially when all factors are fully and efficiently employed.






If a country is not on PPF, it means the country is underproduction and input factors are lying idle, for instance, at point k. In the case of neutral technological progress the whole front shifts out.



                                            



In case of agricultural progress (rice), the portion PPF on x-axis will come out in proportion with the development in the agricultural sector.





Development in industrial segment (computer) of economy will be indicated by outward shift of PPF on y-axis in proportion with the development in the industrial sector.















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Q8 How low income countries today differ from developed countries in their earlier stages
1.    Physical and human resource endowments.
2.    Per capita incomes and levels of GNP in relation to the rest of world.
3.    Climate
4.    Population size, distribution and growth.
5.    Historical rate of international migration.
6.    International trade benefits.
7.    Basic scientific and technological research and development capabilities.
8.    Stability and flexibility of political and social institutions

Physical and human resource endowments
By physical and human resource endowment we mean economic benefits that a country has over other countries. Examples are fertile lands, petroleum, mines and healthy, skilled and satisfied labor force. One of the reasons of long run growth of today developed is that these countries were rich in such endowments. A few developing nations have been supplied with abundant supply of petroleum, other minerals and raw materials. In Asia where almost half of the world population resides is poorly endowed with natural resources. In contrary, the countries where natural resources are in plenty such as Latin America and Africa heavy investment of capital is needed to exploit them.
       Human resources is also a big difference between developing and developed nations. The developing nations lack skilled labors though their labor force is much larger as compared to the developed nations. According to Paul Romer “ today developing nations are poor because their people do not have access to the ideas that are necessary to generate value by industrialization.”
Per capita incomes and levels of GNP in relation to the rest of world
The four fifths of the world population at present living in developing countries have on average a lower level of real per capita income than their counterparts had in nineteenth century. Especially, at the beginning of modern growth era today developed countries were economically in advance of the rest of the world. Therefore, they were in strong position to expand financially and economically.
Climate
Almost all developing countries are located in tropical or sub tropical (most heated) zones. On the other hand most economically successful countries located in the temperate zones. The difference of climate is not by chance. The heat and humidity in most countries contribute bad soil quality and rapid losses to many natural goods. Extreme climate has also affected badly the thickness of forests, bad health of animals and productivity of certain crops. Bad weather also causes discomforts and diseases among works making them less productive.
Population size, distribution and growth
One more striking difference between the poor and the rich world is population growth and distribution. In the beginning the Western nations had very slow population rates. It increased during industrialization era due to falling death rates, however birthrates remained slow. The average population growth rate was 2% per annum and even much less of it.
The population of developing countries increased at higher average that is 2.5% and even faster. Further population is concentrated in few areas and person to land ratios are higher than the developed countries had in the start. In the term of absolute size the developing countries have also grown larger such as India, Egypt, Pakistan, Indonesia, etc.
Historical rate of international migration
In the early twentieth centuries there was a great movement of rural population in Europe giving rise large scale international migration. It was due to famine and less economic opportunities in rural areas. Especially, after World War a huge number of unskilled labors Europe rushed to labor shortage areas of North America and Australia.
This international migration can be divided into two major types: distant (remote) and long run; short distance and temporary. The first types includes migration from Europe to America (the new world) whereas the second includes migration within the Europe. It took place after World Wars; however, the reasons of migration were almost same in both the types.
One of the major consequences of international migration is brain drain. It means the migration of highly skilled professionals from developing countries to developed countries in search of better livelihood. The brain drain during 1960 to 1990 was more than one million from developing countries to Canada, USA and UK. Further, international migration affects wage rates, remittances and cultural values.
International trade benefits
International free trade is known as “growth engine” which caused all advancements in today developed countries. Free trade helped expansion of exports markets which further provided international stimulus to growing local demands. This caused establishment of manufacturing industries and enabled developing countries to borrow funds from international capital markets and speed up the process of capital accumulation.
Free trade and prosperity cycle
More international free trade → more expanded exports markets → more earnings → more manufacturing industries → more borrowable funds for developing countries → more capital accumulation with developing countries → more development in developing countries.
Unfortunately, the developing countries have benefited less out of free trade due to their poor terms of trade (value of exports to value of imports).
Basic scientific  and technological research and development capabilities
Research and development (R& D) has played very crucial role in development of today developed countries. This is why 90% of world research is being done in developed countries. These countries can afford scientific research because they allocate heavy funds for this purpose in their budgets. Scientific research and development has been in the top priorities of developed countries whereas the developing countries neither can afford nor they have such priorities; instead they depend on the developed countries for research projects if they have them at all.
Stability and flexibility of political and social institutions
Finally, today developed nations had in beginning established political and flexible social institutions. Therefore, they could pursue national policies independently on basis of consensus toward modernization. According to Gunnar Myrdal, the Nobel Prize laureate:
 “….the today developed countries had a small world of broadly similar cultures where person and ideas moved freely. Modern scientific thought developed in these countries long before industrialization revolution and modernized technology was introduced earlier in their agriculture and industries in small scale.”
The political stability had been also a problem for developing countries; they lacked national policies consistency and sustainability. On the other hand, the developed nations showed themselves more mature in their political temperament. The continuity of economic policies through years and years is salient feature of developed countries.
…………………………………………………………………………………………………….


Q9 How can we measure inequality and poverty
1-    Size distribution method
The personal or size distribution of income is most commonly used measure of inequality used by economist. It simply deals with individual persons or households and the total income they receive regardless the source of income.
1.    Write the individuals and their income in ascending order.
2.    Divide the population in quintile and deciles
3.    Divide top 20% by bottom 40%: the greater the difference; the greater the inequality.
      INDs
PI(MU)
      %STI
Quintiles
Deciles
1
0.8
2
1
1.8
3
1.4
4
1.8
5
3.2
5
1.9
6
2
3.9
7
2.4
8
2.7
9
5.1
9
2.8
10
3
5.8
11
3.4
12
3.8
13
7.2
13
4.2
14
4.8
9
15
5.9
16
7.1
22
13
17
10.5
18
12
22.5
19
13.5
20
15
51
28.5
100
100
100












2-    Lorenz curve
The Lorenz curve is a graphical representation of the distribution of income or of wealth. It was developed by Max O. Lorenz in 1905 for representing inequality of the wealth distribution.
1.    The numbers of income recipients are plotted on x-axis in cumulative percentage.
2.    The vertical axis shows share of income received by each percentage of population, it is also in cumulative up to 100.
3.    The diagonal shows equality- at every point the percentage of income is equal to percentage of population.
4.    The Lorenz curve shows the actual income received by each group of population. The more away the Lorenz curve from diagonal, the more is inequality.







3-    Gini coefficient
It is the area covered by Lorenz curve divided by the total area on the right side of diagonal:
Lorenz curve area / Area of triangle on right side of diagonal
If it is
1.    =0, perfect equality
2.    =1, perfect inequality
3.    Generally it is between 0 and 1
4.    For more equitable countries, it is 0.20 to 0.35 and for less equitable countries it is 0.50 to 0.70


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Q 10  What are the characteristics of high poverty groups

1.    Rural Poverty
2.    Women and Poverty
3.    Ethnic Minorities, Indigenous Population, and Poverty
Rural Poverty
The most valid things about the poor are that they are mostly located in rural areas; they are primarily engaged in agriculture. They are more likely to be women and children than adults male and also they are concentrated among minority ethnic groups and indigenous people. Surveys show that two-thirds of very poor people earn their livelihood from agriculture as small farmers or paid farm workers. Remaining one-third are engaged in petty jobs and live in rural areas and some live marginal urban areas and involved in self employments.
Very interesting facts about rural poverty are that the largest share of most LDCs government expenditures  in past 25 years are directed toward urban areas, especially on affluent commercial and manufacturing areas; however these funds should have gone to rural areas for alleviation of poverty.
Women and Poverty
Women constitute substantial majority of world population. If we compare the lives of inhabitants of the poorest communities across the developing world; we will find that children and women experience the harshest deprivation. They are more likely to be poor and malnourished less likely to receive medical services, sanitation, clean water and other benefits. The women have less access to government jobs, social security  and less control on their spouse income. The households headed by women having no male earners are 20% in India; 17% in Costa Rica; 40% in rural Kenya and this proportion is rising throughout the developing countries.
The disparity of income between male and female headed households can be explained by large earnings differentials. The reasons are: less payment to women for similar tasks; they are barred from highly paying jobs; they are offered less productive and illegal job. Per capita income and household income are poor indicators of poverty because they do not consider gender discrimination. Instead of this, the economic status of women is better indicator. Present intrahousehold studies show the existence of a strong bias against women in different regions of the developing countries; for example boys are 40 times more likely to be taken to hospitals when ill.
Ethnic Minorities, Indigenous Population, and Poverty
The final conclusion about incidence Third World poverty is presence of ethnic minority groups and indigenous populations. Of 40% nation-states of the world have more than  5 sizeable ethnic populations one or more of which face serious economic or political       threat. The plight against 300 million indigenous populations of 70 countries was exposed by UNO in 1993 when this year was declared as Year of Indigenous People. Not only the domestic disputes but world wars had arisen out of ethnic discriminations. For example, in Mexico 80% indigenous are indiscriminately poor in face of 18% of rich non-indigenous people.



















Working definition of indigenous peoples by Jose R. Martinez Cobo
Indigenous communities, peoples and nations are those which, having a historical continuity with pre-invasion and pre-colonial societies that developed on their territories, consider themselves distinct from other sectors of the societies now prevailing on those territories, or parts of them. They form at present non-dominant sectors of society and are determined to preserve, develop and transmit to future generations their ancestral territories, and their ethnic identity, as the basis of their continued existence as peoples, in accordance with their own cultural patterns, social institutions and legal system.
This historical continuity may consist of the continuation, for an extended period reaching into the present of one or more of the following factors:
  • Occupation of ancestral lands, or at least of part of them
  • Common ancestry with the original occupants of these lands
  • Culture in general, or in specific manifestations (such as religion, living under a tribal system, membership of an indigenous community, dress, means of livelihood, lifestyle, etc.)
  • Language (whether used as the only language, as mother-tongue, as the habitual means of communication at home or in the family, or as the main, preferred, habitual, general or normal language)
  • Residence in certain parts of the country, or in certain regions of the world
  • Other relevant factors.
On an individual basis, an indigenous person is one who belongs to these indigenous populations through self-identification as indigenous (group consciousness) and is recognized and accepted by these populations as one of its members (acceptance by the group). This preserves for these communities the sovereign right and power to decide who belongs to them, without external interference.
           indigenouspeoples.nl/indigenous-peoples/definition-indigenous








  


 











[1] Child mortality, also known as under-5mortality or child death, refers to the deathof infants and children under the age of five or between the age of one month to four years depending on the definition.
The maternal mortality ratio (MMR) is the ratio of the number of maternal deaths during a given time period per 100,000 live births during the same time-period.

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